Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000750 0.000857 0.000970 0.001099 0.001240 0.001391 0.001563
2024-12-22 0.000574 0.000720 0.000887 0.001088 0.001324 0.001589 0.001908
2024-12-29 0.000479 0.000642 0.000835 0.001079 0.001377 0.001723 0.002154
2025-01-05 0.000411 0.000584 0.000799 0.001080 0.001433 0.001857 0.002399
2025-01-12 0.000353 0.000530 0.000758 0.001066 0.001466 0.001958 0.002600
2025-01-19 0.000303 0.000480 0.000716 0.001046 0.001485 0.002038 0.002775
2025-01-26 0.000277 0.000458 0.000709 0.001069 0.001558 0.002185 0.003036
2025-02-02 0.000253 0.000438 0.000700 0.001087 0.001623 0.002323 0.003286
2025-02-09 0.000222 0.000402 0.000668 0.001069 0.001637 0.002393 0.003449
2025-02-16 0.000194 0.000369 0.000635 0.001047 0.001643 0.002450 0.003595
2025-02-23 0.000178 0.000353 0.000627 0.001059 0.001697 0.002572 0.003827
2025-03-02 0.000163 0.000337 0.000616 0.001067 0.001743 0.002683 0.004048
2025-03-09 0.000140 0.000306 0.000581 0.001037 0.001734 0.002720 0.004169
2025-03-16 0.000121 0.000278 0.000548 0.001007 0.001723 0.002751 0.004283
2025-03-23 0.000109 0.000262 0.000533 0.001004 0.001752 0.002839 0.004478
2025-03-30 0.000098 0.000248 0.000520 0.001003 0.001782 0.002930 0.004678
2025-04-06 0.000087 0.000231 0.000501 0.000991 0.001794 0.002994 0.004839
2025-04-13 0.000076 0.000213 0.000479 0.000971 0.001794 0.003038 0.004972
2025-04-20 0.000072 0.000209 0.000480 0.000993 0.001859 0.003181 0.005252
2025-04-27 0.000067 0.000203 0.000479 0.001009 0.001917 0.003314 0.005519
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000188 0.000460 0.000993 0.001918 0.003361 0.005659
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000174 0.000440 0.000972 0.001913 0.003396 0.005781
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000169 0.000437 0.000984 0.001961 0.003516 0.006032